Donald Trump has won 98 of 99 counties in Iowa, garnering a majority (51%) of the votes. The one county that he did lose, Johnson County, he lost to Nikki Haley by 1 vote. It should be noted that many Democrats participated in the caucus by changing their voter registration on the day of the caucus. Such voters invariably chose Haley. Though Haley won a county, DeSantis was second with 21% of the votes, Haley was 3rd with 19%, and Ramaswamy - my favored candidate - was last with 8% of the vote. Ramaswamy suspended his campaign and endorsed Trump.
With Ramaswamy out of the race, that leaves three going into New Hampshire. Haley is expecting a strong showing and has already announced it is a two-person race after Iowa. In fact, polling in New Hampshire indicates Trump will win with 40% of the vote and Haley will have a strong showing around 30%. If that holds, Haley will hope for an upset in her home state of South Carolina. If Trump wins both New Hampshire and South Carolina, the campaign is over.
Will it be Trump v. Biden again? If so, I would expect Reagan's question: "Are you better off today than you were four years ago?"
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