No sooner do I predict the Iran War to be an inescapable quagmire that will drag on than a peace deal is announced. What are the details of this deal? From what has been revealed so far, Iran will immediately open the Strait of Hormuz and the United States will end its blockade of Iranian ports. Iran further agrees not to pursue nuclear weapons, which includes and agreed upon verification regime. On paper, that sounds great. Not to be a wet blanket, but this is just a temporary deal, like maybe until the end of Trump's Presidency. Much as Obama's deal didn't survive Trump, Trump's deal won't survive the next Democrat, unless it is formalized in a treaty that the Senate approves. Of course, there is also Iran, which is likewise going to test US resolve after a few months of 'peace.' Remember, the Vietnam War ended with a South Vietnam and a North Vietnam, but two years after the peace, the north swept away the south and the US embassy was embarrassingly evacuated by helicopter. There was no will in the US to save South Vietnam.
Though not optimistic about the longevity of this deal, it does give President Trump a win and wraps up the Iran War well-before the midterms. Now the news can go back to complaining about the economy, ICE, and the Epstein Files.
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