Showing posts with label Mail-in ballots. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mail-in ballots. Show all posts

Sunday, January 30, 2022

Trump Won Pennsylvania

The Commonwealth Court of Pennsylvania has ruled that the 2019 law that allowed mail-in ballots was unconstitutional.  Prior to the law's passage, only 300,000 mail-in ballots were submitted.  These would be the standard absentee ballots that required a request from the voter.  After the law, the mail-in total exceeded 2.5 million votes.  Let's look at the 2020 election results.  The following graph is available at The Data Corner.:


Of particular note, 58% of Biden's votes were mailed-in while only 18% of Trump's were.  Reverting to the previous 300,000, but using the same proportion for each candidate, how does that look:

If mail-in ballots are disallowed, Trump wins 62% of the state compared to 37% for Biden.  This same trend goes across the country.  As I noted in a previous post, nearly 60% of Biden's votes were mailed-in vs. a third of Trump's.  Disallow mail-in, Trump wins in a massive landslide.

Of course, it is too late now.  Biden is president and no court will or should reverse the election, flawed or not..  However, this should be a clarion call to the states to get their voting systems in order.  Right now, too many citizens distrust the outcome of our elections.  It does not matter if the concerns are valid or not, only that the citizens are distrustful.  You want a functioning system that does not see more January 6 events, you need to have a system that both sides trust.

Thursday, November 19, 2020

Ballot Breakdown

Here's what I want to know.  This should be available but I haven't seen it.  What portion of each vote type did the candidates get?  Who won the early voters at polling stations?  Who won the absentee ballot vote and what is the ratio?  Who won election day voters?  Who won the mail-in vote?

There are, as far as I know, 4 types of vote:

1. Early in-person voting at a polling station.

2. Absentee ballot - one that the voter had to apply to receive.

3. Mail-in ballot - one that was mailed to registered voters unsolicited.

4. In-person election day voting at polling station.

What is the breakdown between Trump and Biden of these various types of vote?  Heck, what proportion of the vote do each of these types of vote represent?  Are mail-in ballots 10% of the votes or 50%?  My preference is for in-person voting, ideally on election day.  I have the least confidence in unsolicited mail-in ballots.  If mail-in ballots change the result, I have serious concerns.

China, Russia, and who knows who else have databases full of American voter rolls.  What would prevent them from setting up a print shop and just churning out mail-in ballots with their preferred candidate and sending them in?  Sure, lots of them will get rejected and many will be challenged when the actual voter shows up and claims to have not voted.  But a lot will be accepted.  Wisconsin had 89% voter turn out.  Really?  That seems high.  How many of those votes were mail-in ballots?  I want to know.

Sunday, August 16, 2020

Mail-In Voting Fiasco

Many say that mail-in voting is no different than absentee voting.  Why all the panic?  Why will it be a disaster, Trump?  One needs to request an absentee ballot.  In fact, if everyone requested an absentee ballot under the current system, we could do mail-in voting already.

One must apply for an absentee ballot.  Once the request has been submitted, the ballot is provided and the voter can send it in before the deadline.  Easy peasy.  But note that first part: one must apply for the ballot.  Under the proposed plan for mail-in voting, ballots will be mailed en masse to registered voters.  I still get mail for the previous owners of this house; will I get a ballot for them?  Could I send it in?  Under the current system, only 60% of voters bother to go to the polls.  It is under 50% during non-presidential election years.  How much you want to bet someone will collect that 40% of mailed ballots and send them in?  The opportunity for fraud is staggering.  Then there is the problem of rejecting ballots and delayed counts, like in the NY primary.  You can't reject 20% to 30% of the mail in votes and then declare a winner in a close contest that will be accepted by the losing side.  Heck, it turned into a court case.  Remember how well it went when the court 'decided' the 2000 election.  Now, that's the ballots that arrived to be counted.  What about the ones that got lost by the post office?  Not likely?  Well, CBS ran a test.  On the first batch, 3% didn't arrive.  Well, that's not so bad.  On the second batch, 21% didn't arrive.  Oh, this is going to go great.

Given 40% apathetic voters with 'unused' ballots, plus 3% to 20% loss in the mail, plus 20% to 30% mail-in ballot rejection, I am totally going to trust whatever the results are.  Yeah, there isn't going to be any doubt about the results.  If the mail-in results overturn the polling station results, look for Scott Adams' civil war to commence soon after.

If it is safe enough to go to the grocery store, it is safe enough to go to the polls.  If you can't be bothered to either go to the polls or at least apply for the absentee ballot, you shouldn't vote.