End of the Line

According to RealClearPolitics, Hillary is only 27 delegates away from clinching the nomination.  754 delegates are up for grabs on Tuesday.  If Hillary can get 3.6% of those delegates, she will be the nominee.  Obviously that is going to happen.  This day was coming and Bernie knew it.  And yet he persists.  He claims he will go to the convention.  To what end?  Yes, there is still the possibility that Hillary will be indicted though that is extremely unlikely.  Obama does not what his Justice Department to indict his Secretary of State for actions she took during his administration.  Really, that just doesn't look good.  Then again, if she looks like a crippled candidate, he could dispatch her in favor of someone who can continue his policies.  That person isn't Bernie.  A switch in candidates at this late date will doom whomever that candidate is to defeat in November.  The Bernie voters won't follow if the party overlooks their guy.  So we are back to Hillary and no indictment.

 

As mentioned in a previous post, the gap between Bernie and Hillary is entirely within the margin of super delegates.  The voters have not shown a decisive enough selection to eliminate the possibility that the supers select the candidate.  Bernie has all the momentum.  If that is still the case on Tuesday, especially if he wins California, his presence at the convention will loom very large.  Could he be assuaged with the VP nomination?  A cabinet office?  Or will he torpedo the party that he has repeatedly identified as corrupt by becoming the Green Party nominee?  Democratic bigwigs are pondering these very questions and trying to find a solution that will hold the presidency for their party.  They did not expect the primary campaign to be this exciting or last this long.

 

What is funny is that the super delegate system is what has doomed the Democrats to a troubled convention.  If those delegates had just gone with their states, Hillary would have an unassailable lead and there would be no possibility of shifting loyalties at the convention.  I suspect the super delegate system will see some changes before the 2020 primaries.