Tuesday, June 7, 2016

Clinched?

As I write, Hillary is way up in California though only a fraction of precincts have reported.  A solid win would do wonders for her whereas an embarrassing loss could be big trouble.  According to RealClear Politics, Hillary currently has 2469 Delegates, more than the 2382 she needs to secure the nomination.  Done?  Interestingly, I read an article recently - can't recall where - that argued that super delegates should be unbound until the convention.  Candidates should arrive only with the delegates they won.  What would that look like?  Again looking at RealClear Politics, Hillary has won 1898 while Bernie has won 1589.  As such, neither has 'won' the requisite 2382 delegates to secure the nomination outright.  This is going to be Bernie's argument if he doesn't concede after tonight's delegates are divvied.  Thanks to the arcane system, that is an excellent argument.  However, an even better counter argument is that Hillary garnered 14.4 million votes to Bernie's 10.8 million.  That's a big gap.  Democrats are big fans of the popular vote and Hillary wins that contest handily.

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