Monday, January 16, 2017

Consequences of a Bad Bet

Here is an article bemoaning that Republican foreign policy experts who have served in previous Republican administrations are being overlooked for positions because they signed Never Trump letters during the primary and/or the campaign.  This was a predictable downside.  Of course, every signatory fully expected Trump to lose and they never really thought there would be jobs available in a Republican administration.  By signing the letter(s), they set themselves up as the reasonable people, members of the sane wing of the Republican Party as they saw it.  However, there was a small chance that Trump would win.  By openly opposing the nominee of their party, they assured that their 'experience' would not be able to keep a steady hand on US foreign policy with the very person that - from their view - would most need it.  Talk of a 'black list' is rich; you can't really expect to be hired by someone you so openly sought to undermine.

Those who signed the first letter issued during the primaries can potentially find their way into the fold.  During the primaries, the party is still deciding what will best appeal to the electorate and the conflicts are known to be among allies who happen to have somewhat different views.  Those who signed during the campaign - and presumably voted for Hillary - will need to eat a lot of crow to have any hope of a position.  Denouncing the Orange Overlord* has a cost.
 
* Credit to Andrew Klavan.  Awesome descriptor and I'm stealing it.

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