Bernie has managed to win the last 5 contests but still trails by a wide margin in delegates. He has 1004 while Hillary is well in advance with 1712. Hillary still needs to win only 33% of the remaining delegates while Bernie needs 67%. In his recent 5 states sweep, he has secured 76% of the delegates available. Wow! If he can keep that up, he could turn the corner. Factoring out the super delegates, Bernie has 975 to Hillary's 1243. That is inside the margin where a switch of the super delegates could swing the election to Bernie. That is highly unlikely but possible.
In a winner-take-all scenario, Hillary is crushing Bernie. She has won 19 states that represent 1911 delegates while Bernie has won 14 with 752 delegates. In popular vote, Hillary has 8.9 million to Bernie's 6.4 million. That's 58% to 42%. That has narrowed a bit thanks to Bernie's recent surge but can he overcome that by the convention? To really justify a switch among the super delegates, Bernie needs to cover that gap. Again, highly unlikely.
Hillary is still on a glide path to win the nomination handily but Bernie's strength does make it a more entertaining campaign. If only he hadn't taken character issues off the table, he might have been more competitive.
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